Alan Randall, world renowned environmental economist and the man in charge of my raises for the past eight years, had the honor of being named a Fellow of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists at the Allied Social Sciences Association meetings yesterday in San Francisco (as a result stellar nomination packet by yours truly if I do say so myself--that's worth at least another 5%, right?).
In his 'acceptance speech', Alan was given three minutes to espouse his wisdom on a topic of his choosing. He chose to touch on green stimulus and the bogusity--I made that up--of the green jobs justification.
Here is what he said, and what I think I agree with (another 2%?)...
Ten Things I Think I Know (by Alan Randall)
- In ordinary times, good economic policy involves macroeconomic restraint and getting the prices right – including the prices for public goods and infrastructure.
- These are not ordinary times, but there is a silver lining – recessions tend to be good for the environment.
- In these extraordinary times, the ordinary rules of macroeconomics should be suspended – better to throw buckets of money at the problem now, and take care of the inevitable inflation when it shows up.
- Stimulus packages tend to be not so good for the environment. Perhaps, then, the ordinary rules of environmental economics should be suspended, too – we can always clean-up the mess when the economy turns around.
- But some kinds of environmental mess are not easily reversed – it may take a long time to recover from that kind of recovery.
- A green stimulus package makes sense, so long as we understand green as a metaphor – bio-energy is literally green but is having a hard time shaking its metaphorical brownish tinge.
- Suppose we know what we mean by green – we still need clarity about what we mean by stimulus. Surely not just jobs – arguments that begin with jobs are almost always disreputable: they tend to assume it doesn’t matter whether the jobs involve useful work.
- Switching to more labor-intensive green energy sources may constitute a green jobs program. But a coherent green stimulus package should be about jump-starting the recovery by jump-starting the new century. That means tilting toward 21st century green infrastructure.
- Even if the times call for suspending the macroeconomic rules, the rules of micro and public economics should remain in place – it is hard to find a good argument for failing to get (and keep) the prices right. Environmental economists are notorious for being too environmental for most economists and too economic for most environmentalists.
- I have just turned things up a notch – if you go along with me, we are now also too rigid about the microeconomics to suit the macroeconomists, and too flexible about the macroeconomics to suit the microeconomists.