I have no idea how to even begin to guess who is actually going to win, so the best I can do is to say that my favorite economists on the list are the following, not necessarily for particularly well-developed reasons:
- Jerry Hausman – I took graduate econometrics with Jerry, and he actually focused on explaining the neat things that we could do with the math that we were learning. Also, he kept using “Manny Ortiz” as a sports example in class, and I still can’t figure out whether he was aware of what he was doing.
- Richard Thaler – I’m kind of surprised that Thaler, one of the main behavioral guys, didn’t share the prize with Dan Kahneman in 2002, so I root for him each year.
- Joshua Angrist – I am amused by any economist that both looks and sounds like Ben Stein. I also think his draft lottery papers are really interesting, since I can totally picture him being like “you know, it would really be nice if the government would randomize people into military and non-military conditions so that I could analyze the effect of military service on labor market outcomes” and then having a huge light bulb go off over his head.
- Alan Krueger – If he wins, I’m going to go ahead and assume that it’s for his work on the music industry.
Dear Sweden: It’s mean to put the econ Nobel announcement on a U.S. holiday, but I will suck it up and set my alarm anyway.
Exxon Valdez almost rhymes with Manny Ortiz!
Here is what Tim and I had to say the other day about Dr. Hausman's Nobel Prize:
Here is the link to my CVM-themed post after Peter Diamond's Nobel Prize.